A Brokered Convention, The Mischief of Factions and the Empire Strikes Back
The first thing to know about political parties is that they
are not mentioned in the Constitution.
Nor are they alluded to in any of the amendments to the
Constitution. Indeed, one of our
founding fathers (specifically the peevish James Madison) inveighed against the
“mischief of factions.” Political
parties were a latter day creation of the people, protected by the First
Amendment right to free association and any state laws that try to manage,
control or deter them lose legal challenge.
The next
thing you need to know about political parties is that the delegates who go to
their respective conventions are a bunch of free radicals, governed only by
party regulations, traditions and rules of thumb. That same thumb, by the way, can be shoved in
the eye of the establishment at any time.
For example, by tradition and even written rules a delegate to the
Republican Convention is required to vote for the candidate preferred in
his/her state’s primary on the first ballot.
But they void that requirement by amending Rule 16 or by “voting their
conscience.” Now, such a departure from
decorum may leave that lady (or gentleman) eating alone and sitting on the “bad
girl” bench for the rest of the convention, but the vote still counts. There really is a lot of mischief in those
factions!
This year,
for the first time since 1948 the Republicans are facing the possibility of a
brokered convention. In that year they
ended up with Thomas Dewey who then was beaten by Harry Truman (frankly a
better choice).
Conventions
are conducted by Roberts Rules of Order.
Smart. If you think such specific
rules are cumbersome, try getting anything done without them. The best thing about encoded parliamentary procedure
is that it offers protection in both directions. It protects the rights of the minority to be
heard but protects the rights of the majority as well. One side may not be silenced; the other side
may not be stymied. Both sides have an
equal right to prevail. If you are in
the minority—well, maybe you are wrong.
If you are in the majority—well, maybe you are wrong too and should
listen to others.
The first
vote bears watching. This will be the
credentials vote, which is duller than dirt but does determine which delegates
are given the right to sit on the floor and vote. George McGovern won the infamous 1972 Chicago
Democratic Convention because two credentials challenges to his delegates
failed: they were seated, they won, and McGovern lost every state except Massachusetts
and Washington D.C. He even failed to
win his home state of South Dakota. But,
the lathered masses didn’t want reality, they wanted to throw a tantrum.
If the Trump
wing-nuts are thwarted in their efforts to get enough delegates to win a
majority vote the Republican convention will hold one vote after another until
enough deals, arm-twisting and heart-to-heart talks are made to cluster the
correct number of delegates around another (saner) candidate. But, and here is where things get very murky,
even if Trump gets the magic delegate count, the delegates themselves may
decide “as a matter of conscience” not to vote for him. Now that would be a disruption in the force! The Jedi knights and the storm troopers would
probably end up mixing it up pretty good on the floor of the convention.
I will be watching,
too. Knowing that Trump is not working
for Republicans, he is working for Hillary.
Knowing that the media is hoping for a self-destruct button on my party. Hoping for a miracle and keeping the
faith.
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