Asteroid!

What are you planning to do Tuesday, November 8 at around 7:30 p.m. (CST)?  You might want to look up.  In the night skies over your head an asteroid will be coming closer to the Earth than the moon itself.  Asteroid 2005 YU55 is the largest close-approaching asteroid on record.  Essentially, it will be a passing between the orbit of the Earth and the moon.  This is the astronomical equivalent of a bow shot. 

            This asteroid is not going to hit the Earth.  That is good.  Both asteroids and meteors have hit the Earth before.  The extinction of the dinosaurs was precipitated by an asteroid hitting near the Yucatan Peninsula in Mexico about 65 million years ago.  One hundred years ago an asteroid exploded in the atmosphere above Tunguska in Russia, leveling 2000 square kilometers of Siberian forest.  Meteor Crater, just off I-40 near Winslow, Arizona, was formed 50,000 years ago when a part of an asteroid traveling 26,000 miles per hour hit the Earth.  As the song writer said, “When an irresistible force such as you, meets an old immoveable object like me, something’s gotta give,…”

These asteroids are bad actors and need to be targeted because they are too small and too dim (they produce no light of their own, only reflecting light from the sun, just like the Earth and moon) to be easily seen.  They also travel very, very fast.  Tuesday’s asteroid visited our neck of the woods in 1976, but went undetected.  It is only about a quarter mile across—yet we have never had anything this big come this close to us before.  How big a mess could it make if it hit us?  An asteroid the size of a house would do as much damage as the bomb that hit Hiroshima.  One the size of a 20 story building would destroy any major city in the United Sates and an asteroid a mile wide would probably end most life on this planet.  Such an asteroid, named Apophis, will pass by, but miss, the Earth in 2029.  

Yes, asteroids have hit the Earth and they have destroyed animal life, human life and both natural and man-made creation.  But for a collision to happen now, with our tightly packed, humanly stressed, interdependent economy would be much more serious than it ever has been in the past.  To this point, the Planetary Society launched the Apophis Mission Design competition.  It offered $50,000 to discover and track Near Earth Objects.  Apophis will approach us in 2029 closer than our geostationary satellites.  Wow!  I will be 83 that year, but I’m looking forward to that show.  The Apophis Mission Design competition produced useful results from 37 participants from 20 countries on 6 continents.  This is private money, personal initiative and productive competition at its best.  You can’t get innovation from a governmental bureaucracy because a bureaucracy, by definition, thrives on the status quo.  You can’t maintain your course and change direction at the same time!

If you have a 6 inch or better telescope and a skilled astronomer (Tom will have his 17 1/2 inch diameter telescope out), you will probably be able to see our fly by asteroid on Tuesday night.  It will be dim, a magnitude 11.2 (magnitude of night time objects get brighter as they approach 1).  But it is a reminder that we live in a crowded solar system, filled with things over which we have no control.  We are neither the biggest, baddest or boldest thing out there. 

Watch the skies, and keep the faith. 

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